Two storms swirling in the Tropics have higher chance of becoming tropical cyclones | Myrtle Beach Sun News

Two tropical disturbances brewing in the Tropics were given greater odds of swirling into tropical cyclones next week, forecasters with the National Hurricane Center said Saturday morning.

A tropical wave is in the Atlantic Ocean about 1500 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands in the Caribbean, and it’s churning out scattered showers and thunderstorms, forecasters said.

While its organization hasn’t changed much since Friday, some development is projected to happen during the next few days before tropical cyclone formation conditions dwindle and become less favorable for the storm to develop.

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The disturbance is forecast to keep heading west or west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic region in the coming days, according to weather authorities.

The storm has a 40 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours and 70 percent chance of developing into one over the next five days.

Conditions are also favorable for a large disturbance, swirling near the Yucatan Peninsula, which could gradually develop while it slowly spins northwestward over the Yucatan Peninsula this weekend, forecasters said.

With this storm, a broad trough of low pressure is creating a large stretch of cloudiness and showers over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and adjacent land areas. It could change form and become a tropical cyclone early in the week while in the southern or central Gulf of Mexico.

Over the next 48 hours, the system has a 20 percent chance of developing in to a tropical cyclone and a 70 percent chance of becoming a cyclone over the next five days.

Regardless of storm formation, weather authorities say it will be a wet week with heavy downpours likely spreading over portions of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and western Cuba over the next several days.