Decline of conservativism

Mande Wilkes | There’s won’t be another GOP president. Here’s why

November 10, 2012 

“Once you go black …”

That was going to be the title for this column. But that would make many of you mad, and then I’d have to listen to my dad tell me about burning bridges and such. So I made it the first line of the column instead of the title. Hopefully y’all won’t get mad, and that way my dad can spare me the pearls of wisdom.

Anyway, the point is that Barack Obama was re-elected and I’m not surprised. It’s going to keep happening that America elects liberal presidents. In fact, I’m certain that America won’t elect a Republican president ever again.

Here’s why:

1. The Republican Party is dying, and I don’t mean that figuratively.

Did you go to a Mitt Romney rally? Or have you been to any recent Republican rally? All you see is gray hair and wheelchairs. Conservatives are old. (Most of them are even older than my dad, who I already warned you about.) No, conservatives aren’t just middle-aged-old, they’re old-old. And dying, many of them are very close to dying.

So what happens when they do all in fact die? The Republican Party disappears, that’s what happens.

Every election cycle, the pool of conservative voters shrinks. At some point the pool will have gotten so small that the Republican Party ceases to exist. We’re not there yet, but with each passing year (and with each passing Republican), we’re that much closer.

2. Non-whites pool their votes. Whites divide their votes.

Think back to high school, during Homecoming week, when the student body would vote for Homecoming King and Queen. Remember how the winners were always people you hadn’t heard of, people who were hardly popular? And remember how often the winners were black? That’s because all the black students pooled their vote, casting a collective ballot for the black nominee. The white kids, on the other hand, divided their vote and lost.

Like our first black president (Bill, not Barack) says: It’s just arithmetic.

As America becomes increasingly ethnic, a united minority displaces a divided majority.

3. Women are women…

…And women are nurturers. And they want their government to nurture.

Think of Republicans as “dads” and Democrats as “moms.” Dads teach about self-sufficiency and independence. Sounds like conservatism, right? Moms teach about sharing and interdependence. It’s no wonder, then, that women (literally moms, most of them) support progressive politics.

For some time now, women have outnumbered men at the polls. Again, it’s just arithmetic: If there are more women voters, and if most women voters are Democrats, then Democrats will always prevail.

So, is there any hope at all for the Republican Party? Probably not, but that doesn’t necessarily mean the end for conservatism as a whole. Actually, a withering Republican Party offers potential for conservatives to strengthen the movement.

What it would take is a return to the roots of conservatism – a belief in government that is really and truly small, and not just small in some ways and big in others. Size matters, you know.

Contact Mande Wilkes, a local cultural commentator, at m@mandewilkes.com.

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